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LIVE · 13 GAMES2 A-WEATHER

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AI Slate Notes
  • 13-game slate · 2 games with A-grade weather
  • Best HR environment: PIT @ WSH (A+ wx · C park)
  • Top HR target: Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — CLUTCH 78.1 (Longshot)

Slate Ribbon

13 gamesALGO HR Engine™
Power · Vulnerability · Park · Weather · Opportunity
FINAL
ML refreshing
STL
STL
46-39
50HR· AVG
17
@
CHC
49-39
CHC
50HR· AVG
1
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
46/ 100
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante(RHP)
STL SP
V 35
David Peterson
David Peterson(LHP)
CHC SP
V 31
Pitcher's Duel
Wrigley Field
PARK 0%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
PIT
PIT
44-45
50HR· AVG
5
@
WSH
46-43
WSH
50HR· AVG
9
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
56/ 100
Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller(RHP)
PIT SP
V 24
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin(LHP)
WSH SP
V 66
No badges
Nationals Park
PARK +1%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
MIN
MIN
42-47
50HR· AVG
2
@
NYY
49-38
NYY
50HR· AVG
5
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
62/ 100
Mike Paredes
Mike Paredes(RHP)
MIN SP
V 71
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole(RHP)
NYY SP
V 31
Target Pitcher
Yankee Stadium
PARK +3%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
BAL
BAL
41-48
50HR· AVG
3
@
CIN
40-47
CIN
50HR· AVG
0
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
64/ 100
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers(LHP)
BAL SP
V 49
Brady Singer
Brady Singer(RHP)
CIN SP
V 71
Target Pitcher
Great American Ball P…
PARK 0%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
CWS
CWS
45-42
50HR· AVG
3
@
CLE
47-42
CLE
50HR· AVG
4
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
56/ 100
Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay(LHP)
CWS SP
V 57
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams(RHP)
CLE SP
V 59
No badges
Progressive Field
PARK 0%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
NYM
NYM
36-52
50HR· AVG
3
@
ATL
51-35
ATL
50HR· AVG
5
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
55/ 100
Christian Scott
Christian Scott(RHP)
NYM SP
V 27
Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes(RHP)
ATL SP
V 65
No badges
Truist Park
PARK 0%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
SF
SF
36-51
50HR· AVG
3
@
COL
36-53
COL
50HR· AVG
15
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
51/ 100
Logan Webb
Logan Webb(RHP)
SF SP
V 25
Ryan Feltner
Ryan Feltner(RHP)
COL SP
V 50
Best Hit EnvironmentPitcher's Duel
Coors Field
PARK +12%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
TB
TB
52-33
50HR· AVG
3
@
HOU
43-47
HOU
50HR· AVG
1
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
46/ 100
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez(RHP)
TB SP
V 29
Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti(RHP)
HOU SP
V 43
Pitcher's Duel
Daikin Park
PARK +1%DOMED
FINAL
ML refreshing
BOS
BOS
38-48
50HR· AVG
5
@
LAA
36-53
LAA
50HR· AVG
2
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
47/ 100
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett(LHP)
BOS SP
V 39
Reid Detmers
Reid Detmers(LHP)
LAA SP
V 39
Pitcher's Duel
Angel Stadium
PARK -1%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
MIA
MIA
47-42
50HR· AVG
12
@
ATH
41-47
ATH
50HR· AVG
5
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
57/ 100
Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips(RHP)
MIA SP
V 34
Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins(RHP)
ATH SP
V 67
No badges
Sutter Health Park
PARK -2%WX —
LIVELIVE
ML refreshing
MIL
MIL
53-32
50HR· AVG
3
@
ARI
43-43
ARI
50HR· AVG
3
EDGE ScoreGOOD
72/ 100
Kyle Harrison
Kyle Harrison(LHP)
MIL SP
V 56
Jose Cabrera
Jose Cabrera(RHP)
ARI SP
V 84
Target Pitcher
Chase Field
PARK 0%DOMED
FINAL
ML refreshing
SD
SD
43-44
50HR· AVG
3
@
LAD
58-31
LAD
50HR· AVG
4
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
44/ 100
Michael King
Michael King(RHP)
SD SP
V 38
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani(RHP)
LAD SP
V 17
Pitcher's Duel
UNIQLO Field at Dodge…
PARK +2%WX —
FINAL
ML refreshing
TOR
TOR
42-46
50HR· AVG
2
@
SEA
45-44
SEA
50HR· AVG
0
EDGE ScoreSECONDARY
41/ 100
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease(RHP)
TOR SP
V 17
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo(RHP)
SEA SP
V 25
Pitcher's Duel
T-Mobile Park
PARK -5%DOMED
Moneyline refreshing — EDGE Score still live

Highest Confidence Plays

Cross-market · Top by CLUTCH Score
Esmerlyn Valdez
99
#1HitHits
PITPITvsWSHWSHRHBvs Foster GriffinCSI 0.30
Edge+28.7%
CLUTCH99
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Francisco Alvarez
99
#2HitHits
NYMNYMvsATLATLRHBvs Grant HolmesCSI 0.30
Edge+28.5%
CLUTCH99
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Yordan Alvarez
98
#3HitHits
HOUHOUvsTBTBLHBvs Nick MartinezCSI 0.30
Edge+28.0%
CLUTCH98
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Victor Bericoto
97
#4HitHits
SFSFvsCOLCOLRHBvs Ryan FeltnerCSI 0.30
Edge+24.7%
CLUTCH97
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Juan Soto
96
#5HitHits
NYMNYMvsATLATLLHBvs Grant HolmesCSI 0.30
Edge+21.8%
CLUTCH96
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
James Wood
95
#6HitHits
WSHWSHvsPITPITLHBvs Mitch KellerCSI 0.30
Edge+19.9%
CLUTCH95
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced

Top 10 HR Targets

Ranked by CLUTCH Score
Full HR Board
Esmerlyn Valdez
78
Longshot
#1HRHome Run
+424
PITPITvsWSHWSHRHBvs Foster GriffinCSI 0.30
Edge+8.0%
CLUTCH78
Longshot
Why this play
Barrel Rate20.0%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %36.1%balanced
Hard-Hit %60.0%elite contact
ISO.403elite
Pull-Air %16.4%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor101neutral
Edge vs Vegas+8.0%market mispriced
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat WaveMarket MispricedBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Francisco Alvarez
78
Longshot
#2HRHome Run
+424
NYMNYMvsATLATLRHBvs Grant HolmesCSI 0.30
Edge+6.8%
CLUTCH78
Longshot
Why this play
Barrel Rate19.0%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %38.8%fly-ball lean
Hard-Hit %54.0%elite contact
ISO.301elite
Pull-Air %16.0%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+6.8%market mispriced
Barrel MonsterFly Ball HunterHard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat WaveMarket MispricedBZM Match
Yordan Alvarez
77
Longshot
#3HRHome Run
+424
HOUHOUvsTBTBLHBvs Nick MartinezCSI 0.30
Edge+5.6%
CLUTCH77
Longshot
Why this play
Barrel Rate19.0%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %38.8%fly-ball lean
Hard-Hit %54.0%elite contact
ISO.301elite
Pull-Air %16.0%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor101neutral
Edge vs Vegas+5.6%market mispriced
Barrel MonsterFly Ball HunterHard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat WaveMarket MispricedBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Victor Bericoto
74
Pass
#4HRHome Run
+424
SFSFvsCOLCOLRHBvs Ryan FeltnerCSI 0.30
Edge+6.7%
CLUTCH74
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate15.8%top 15%
Fly Ball %34.3%balanced
Hard-Hit %53.8%elite contact
ISO.317elite
Pull-Air %15.0%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor112hitter-friendly
Edge vs Vegas+6.7%market mispriced
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat WavePark BoostMarket MispricedBZM Match
Cal Raleigh
73
Pass
#5HRHome Run
+424
SEASEAvsTORTORSHBvs Dylan CeaseCSI 0.30
Edge+3.5%
CLUTCH73
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate17.1%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %34.8%balanced
Hard-Hit %55.7%elite contact
ISO.342elite
Pull-Air %15.4%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor95pitcher-friendly
Edge vs Vegas+3.5%trim juice
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfilePull-Power MatchHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
James Wood
71
Pass
#6HRHome Run
+424
WSHWSHvsPITPITLHBvs Mitch KellerCSI 0.30
Edge+6.2%
CLUTCH71
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate23.1%top 5% of league
Fly Ball %29.2%ground-ball tilt
Hard-Hit %59.7%elite contact
ISO.257elite
Pull-Air %8.4%spread hitter
Park Factor101neutral
Edge vs Vegas+6.2%market mispriced
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveMarket MispricedBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Eugenio Suárez
70
Pass
#7HRHome Run
+424
CINCINvsBALBALRHBvs Trevor RogersCSI 0.30
Edge+2.7%
CLUTCH70
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate14.9%top 15%
Fly Ball %34.0%balanced
Hard-Hit %52.3%elite contact
ISO.298elite
Pull-Air %14.8%spread hitter
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+2.7%trim juice
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Bryan Torres
69
Pass
#8HRHome Run
+424
STLSTLvsCHCCHCLHBvs David PetersonCSI 0.30
Edge+2.2%
CLUTCH69
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate14.3%top 15%
Fly Ball %33.7%balanced
Hard-Hit %51.5%elite contact
ISO.286elite
Pull-Air %14.5%spread hitter
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+2.2%trim juice
Barrel MonsterHard-Hit ProfileHeat WaveBZM Match
Off-Platoon
Colson Montgomery
68
Pass
#9HRHome Run
+424
CWSCWSvsCLECLELHBvs Gavin WilliamsCSI 0.30
Edge+4.6%
CLUTCH68
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate14.5%top 15%
Fly Ball %38.7%fly-ball lean
Hard-Hit %44.6%above avg
ISO.258elite
Pull-Air %19.0%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+4.6%trim juice
Barrel MonsterFly Ball HunterPull-Power MatchHeat Wave
Braden Montgomery
68
Pass
#10HRHome Run
+424
CWSCWSvsCLECLESHBvs Gavin WilliamsCSI 0.30
Edge+4.6%
CLUTCH68
Pass
Why this play
Barrel Rate14.5%top 15%
Fly Ball %38.7%fly-ball lean
Hard-Hit %44.6%above avg
ISO.258elite
Pull-Air %19.0%exit profile fits this park
Park Factor100neutral
Edge vs Vegas+4.6%trim juice
Barrel MonsterFly Ball HunterPull-Power MatchHeat Wave

Top 10 Hit Targets

1+ / 2+ Hits — ranked by hit probability
Full Hits Generator
Esmerlyn Valdez
99
#1HitHits
PITPITvsWSHWSHRHBvs Foster GriffinCSI 0.30
Edge+28.7%
CLUTCH99
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Francisco Alvarez
99
#2HitHits
NYMNYMvsATLATLRHBvs Grant HolmesCSI 0.30
Edge+28.5%
CLUTCH99
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Yordan Alvarez
98
#3HitHits
HOUHOUvsTBTBLHBvs Nick MartinezCSI 0.30
Edge+28.0%
CLUTCH98
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Victor Bericoto
97
#4HitHits
SFSFvsCOLCOLRHBvs Ryan FeltnerCSI 0.30
Edge+24.7%
CLUTCH97
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Juan Soto
96
#5HitHits
NYMNYMvsATLATLLHBvs Grant HolmesCSI 0.30
Edge+21.8%
CLUTCH96
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
James Wood
95
#6HitHits
WSHWSHvsPITPITLHBvs Mitch KellerCSI 0.30
Edge+19.9%
CLUTCH95
Nuclear
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Miguel Vargas
94
#7HitHits
CWSCWSvsCLECLERHBvs Gavin WilliamsCSI 0.30
Edge+18.3%
CLUTCH94
Elite
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Ben Rice
91
#8HitHits
NYYNYYvsMINMINLHBvs Mike ParedesCSI 0.30
Edge+16.2%
CLUTCH91
Elite
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Kody Clemens
90
#9HitHits
MINMINvsNYYNYYLHBvs Gerrit ColeCSI 0.30
Edge+15.7%
CLUTCH90
Strong
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced
Nick Kurtz
89
#10HitHits
ATHATHvsMIAMIALHBvs Tyler PhillipsCSI 0.30
Edge+15.3%
CLUTCH89
Strong
Multi-Hit ThreatMarket Mispriced

Top Pitcher Props

K props · Edge Locked
Pitcher Cheatsheet
No pitcher edges flagged yet.

Top Team Stacks

Attack spots · Vegas + park + weather

Best Weather Games

Wind boost + park-friendly
#1
PITTSBURGH PIRATES@WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park
A+WX
C Park
#2
MINNESOTA TWINS@NEW YORK YANKEES
Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium
A+WX
C+ Park
#3
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS@COLORADO ROCKIES
San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field
B+WX
A- Park
#4
CHICAGO WHITE SOX@CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field
BWX
C Park
#5
TAMPA BAY RAYS@HOUSTON ASTROS
Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros
Daikin Park
CWX
C Park

Attackable Pitchers

HR-prone starters today
GW
C
#1
Gavin Williams
CLECLERHPvsCWSCWS
GH
C
#2
Grant Holmes
ATLATLRHPvsNYMNYM
LC
C
#3
Luis Castillo
SEASEARHPvsTORTOR
MP
C
#4
Mike Paredes
MINMINRHPvsNYYNYY
BS
C
#5
Brady Singer
CINCINRHPvsBALBAL

Premium Intelligence

Backtesting · Daily Report · Performance Trends
62.4%
Win Rate · L30
+24.7%
ROI · L30
Premium
Backtesting Center
Win rate · ROI · Tier accuracy
▸ Aaron Judge HR ✓
▸ Ohtani 2+ Hits ✓
▸ Skubal 7+ K ✗
▸ ATL Stack ✓
3/4 Hit · +12.3u
Premium
Daily Clutch Report
Why we won · Why we lost
Nuclear82%
Elite68%
Strong54%
Viable41%
Premium
Tier Accuracy
Nuclear · Elite · Strong · Viable
Process over emotion · Filtration over volume · Value over name
Slate refreshed 7/4/2026, 4:45:32 AM
Clutch AlgorithmClutch.Algorithm

Sharp MLB HR research built on the CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 edge engine. Cross-team enforced. Cross-validated against The Odds API, MLB StatsAPI, Savant, and Open-Meteo.

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Model 11.12 · CLUTCHMASTER V4.2 · Updated Jul 2026